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Additional steps to link ~95% of FormRs can be added (leaving ~12 000 unlinked) with error rates estimated to be 0.05% (projected to 115 mis-linked forms).
Certain explicitly linked forms were tagged as dubious and ignored for the purposes of estimating error. These were forms linked to programme memberships that had finished more than 18 months ago, had started more than 18 months ago but were linked in a non-ARCP capacity, where the programme membership no longer exists, where (for PartA) the form start and end dates and specialty match a different programme membership to the one linked to, etc. These attempts to identify and mitigate against user-error would need to be reviewed, as would the set of linking rules applied.
ARCP / non-ARCP metrics have not yet been assessed: given our sample data excludes the peak period for ARCPs, this might need to be more strongly rule-based as opposed to modelled off existing form linkages. While all trainee-linked forms for ARCP were submitted on or after the start of the programme, so were a significant percentage of the non-ARCP forms.
Approach
FormR and TIS data as of early Oct 2024 were retrieved and used to evaluate potential methods of linking FormRs and programme memberships. Both submitted and draft forms were assessed.
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